Attendance at cinemas will again come under scrutiny during the upcoming Lunar New Year break that starts within days. All indications so far suggest this year's holiday ticket tally is set for a strong showing, with domestic pre-sales exceeding 100 million in a record short period of time.
India, Japan
Foreign films that recently garnered success at the box office also came from countries that Beijing has been mending ties with ahead of Trump's comeback, such as longtime adversaries India and Japan. The Tamil-language film Maharaja became the highest-grossing Indian movie in China in years, while for the first time, a Japanese import fared better in an overseas market than at home, according to the state-run Securities Times, with animated fantasy The Boy and the Heron reeling in 791 million yuan ($109 million).
Guo Yuan, a 27-year-old fintech worker, said there weren't any decent seats left when she was booking a ticket at a cinema in Guangzhou to see Maharaja. "I'm a big fan of thrillers, and have a pretty good impression of Indian movies," said Guo, who had a meal at the shopping center before the show.
Even as China's box office haul plunged by nearly a quarter to 42.5 billion yuan, foreign films had their best tally since before the pandemic to raise their share to 21% of the overall market, according to a report by Maoyan published this month.
In a rarity for China, R-rated Hollywood productions like Warner Bros.' Joker: Folie à Deux, a less gory sequel to the 2019 hit, were being premiered last year. China blocked the first film, which came out as protests roiled Hong Kong and where some demonstrators wore face coverings including Joker masks.
The independent New York-based studio A24 had its first opening in China with the release of Civil War, a dystopian blockbuster set in an America ravaged by conflict.
China's motivations can be murky to outside observers and censors don't specify the reasons for their decisions. Still, the outlines of the new approach started to become more clear around the middle of last year, when Mao Yu, the executive vice director of the China Film Administration, pledged to bring in more global films "with an open and accepting attitude."
By August, China made improving the supply of films part of a plan to get people to spend more on services.
After a year when foreign productions were absent from the list of the best grossing films, two international blockbusters, including Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire, cracked the box office top 10 in 2024. The world's second-biggest market, which was once a goldmine for US releases, saw 42 American and 24 Japanese films debut last year, the most since 2019, according to data compiled by Bloomberg from the Chinese ticketing service Maoyan Entertainment.
"Instead of producing domestic films, the distribution and ticket sales have become an important source of revenue for the industry," said Wing-Fai Leung, a specialist in the East Asian film and media industries at King's College London. "That leaves the idea of importing more diverse films."
Consumption has meanwhile become a key area of focus for Xi's government in recent months as it embarked on one of its biggest stimulus efforts in years to reverse a slowdown in the world's second-largest economy.
But cultural imports have long been at the mercy of Beijing's censors.
Walt Disney Co.'s Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings attracted unwanted attention in 2021 because the protagonist's father in the original comic books was Fu Manchu, a character viewed as perpetuating racist stereotypes. In the end, the first Marvel superhero film to star an Asian actor in the lead role was never officially released in China.
Geopolitics can also shape priorities. Following clashes with Indian troops in a disputed border area in 2020, China approved no Indian movies for screening until two years later, with a total of 11 permitted since 2022.
The chokehold on Hollywood has at times been just as tight, especially after ties with the US came under strain during the first Trump administration. In the years that followed, China tended to favor its own films in theaters and blocked numerous US films including the 2022 blockbuster Top Gun: Maverick. It didn't clear the release of a single movie from the Marvel superhero franchise between 2020 and 2022.
Economics is increasingly becoming a factor. The film administration's Mao said in August that "crisis is here" for the market, citing among reasons a lack of diverse and quality offerings and the rising popularity of short streaming videos.
Apart from the annual quota for foreign films under a profit-sharing model that typically applies to Hollywood blockbusters, China has a more flexible system where distributors can import some 30 movies for a fixed fee while keeping the profits. Older movies usually aren't subject to these limits when they are rescreened.
"The Chinese film industry alone does not have the capacity nor the stability to churn out enough titles to feed the domestic market," said Ying Zhu, the author of Hollywood in China: Behind the Scenes of the World's Largest Movie Market. "China needs heavyweight Hollywood blockbusters as well as small international films to sustain its market."
The consumer gloom that's swept across China last year added to the urgency for authorities. Spending on nonessential purchases like jewelry and cosmetics all declined last year, according to official data. More than a fifth of respondents in a survey by Beacon Research Institute said they scaled back on travel, dining out, clothing and offline shopping in 2024.
"When the economy goes bad, people cut spending on movies," said Eric Zhu of Bloomberg Economics.
China is pulling out all the stops to boost attendance at cinemas. The film authority introduced subsidies worth 600 million yuan for ticket purchases during the holiday season between last December and February. Local governments including in the provinces of Hainan and Hubei are giving out similar vouchers.
Movie theaters are adding some flair of their own. The showing of Detective Conan: Crossroad in the Ancient Capital featured fake cherry blossom petals raining on the audience during its premiere in Shanghai, recreating a famous scene from the movie.
As China gradually cracks open its lucrative market to Hollywood, Imax Corp. plans to open as many as 25 new locations in the country over the next three years and upgrade 100 existing sites over a longer time frame. The effort by Imax, known for its giant screens, would help bring more foreign blockbuster films to China and allow extra space for big-budget local productions.
Leveraging the success of foreign films will still be an uphill battle for China, however, especially with consumers continuing to hunker down.
On a recent Sunday afternoon, a new cinema in one of Beijing's busiest and trendiest shopping areas was only about one-third filled for a screening of Paddington in Peru.
Some were unfazed.
"I'm a fan of the Paddington series, so I'm wasting no time coming to watch the third one," said one of the viewers, who only gave her surname as Wu. Near the cinema, LVMH's promised new flagship store remains fenced off.
--With assistance from Sohee Kim, Kevin Dharmawan and Takashi Mochizuki.
(Updates with details on China's holiday box office starting in seventh paragraph.)